Kyle Larson is not the outright favorite over Denny Hamlin on BetMGM’s captured South Point 400 listing: both drivers are priced at 4.75 to win. Larson is shorter in BetMGM’s separate top-three and head-to-head markets. These are sportsbook-specific odds snapshots, not a consensus or a prediction guarantee.
What are Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin’s Las Vegas odds?
The BetMGM event listing captured on October 3, 2026, shows Larson and Hamlin tied at decimal odds of 4.75 in the outright race-winner market. In BetMGM’s other listed markets, Larson is priced shorter: 2.10 to finish in the top three and 1.83 in the head-to-head matchup against Hamlin.
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| Market | Kyle Larson | Denny Hamlin | What the prices indicate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outright race winner (BetMGM, decimal odds) | 4.75 | 4.75 | Tied on this listing |
| Top-three finish (BetMGM, decimal odds) | 2.10 | 2.30 | Larson is priced shorter |
| Head-to-head (BetMGM, decimal odds) | 1.83 | 1.91 | Larson is priced shorter |
These are different markets, so a shorter price to finish in the top three or beat Hamlin head-to-head does not make Larson the outright winner favorite on the same listing. Prices can change; check the sportsbook’s current market before relying on a line.
Why do some listings call Larson the favorite?
A NASCAR Fantasy Hub search result displayed Larson at +350 to win, but that result had been crawled several weeks before it was accessed. It is a separately attributed American-odds listing, not a verified live line and not evidence that sportsbooks universally favor Larson. The BetMGM prices above use decimal odds; the formats should not be compared as though they were the same display convention.
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In short, the answer depends on the provider, market and time: BetMGM’s captured outright market ties Larson and Hamlin, while its top-three and head-to-head prices lean toward Larson.
What is the South Point 400?
NASCAR’s 2026 schedule places the South Point 400 on Sunday, October 4, at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The race is scheduled for 267 laps, or 400.5 miles, on a 1.5-mile asphalt intermediate track. Hamlin won the 2025 edition.
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How do Larson and Hamlin arrive at Las Vegas?
In a September 28, 2026, entry-list report, NASCAR described Hamlin as second in the championship table and the defending Las Vegas winner. NASCAR said Larson had opened The Chase with four consecutive top-five finishes, including two wins, and led the other Chasers by 26 points after winning at Kansas. These are standings and results as of that report, not a forecast of the South Point 400.
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Rank #3
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- COMPACT SIZE: Measures approximately 3.25" x 1.25" x 0.75", making it easy to display on a shelf, desk, or in a dedicated diecast collection.
How should you read race odds?
- Check the market: outright winner, top-three finish and head-to-head answer different questions.
- Check the provider and timestamp: odds are volatile snapshots, and one provider’s prices do not establish a market-wide consensus.
- Read the odds format: decimal and American prices display prices differently.
- Treat odds as prices, not certainty: they do not guarantee an outcome.
Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on Amazon at the time of purchase will apply.
